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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
53.69% ( 0.17) | 25.32% ( -0.05) | 21% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 46.36% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% ( 0.08) | 55.6% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% ( 0.06) | 76.76% ( -0.06) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.27% ( 0.1) | 20.73% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.66% ( 0.16) | 53.34% ( -0.15) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.48% ( -0.07) | 41.52% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.98% ( -0.06) | 78.02% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 13.54% 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |