EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Walton Road Stadium
Sutton3 - 2Cambridge
Sutton win 6-5 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Sutton United and Cambridge United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sutton 5-1 Notts County
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%).
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Cambridge United |
40.58% ( 0) | 26.18% ( -0) | 33.24% |
Both teams to score 53.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.65% | 51.35% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.83% | 73.17% ( -0) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.05% ( 0) | 24.94% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.42% | 59.58% |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% ( -0) | 29.2% |