League One | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Reading1 - 0Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Reading
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Derby
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
We said: Reading 1-3 Derby County
Having picked up 29 points from their 14 road trips in League One, Derby currently boasts the best away record in the third tier, and we think that they will get the better of Reading on Tuesday to extend their unbeaten away run to seven league matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Derby County |
21.91% ( 0) | 23.13% ( 0) | 54.95% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
