League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 1
Wycombe

Barkhuizen (83')
Sibley (14'), Mendez-Laing (15'), Hourihane (20'), Collins (30'), Bird (31')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Leahy (90+8' pen.)
Leahy (30'), Forino-Joseph (51'), Vokes (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Wycombe Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Derby
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wycombe 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 13.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Wycombe Wanderers
66.82% ( 0.25)	19.54% ( -0.12)	13.64% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 49.42% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.11% (

0.22)

43.89% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.72% (

0.22)

66.28% (

-0.22)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.79% (

0.14)

12.21% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.11% (

0.28)

37.89% (

-0.29)

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.3% (

-0.05)

43.7% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.12% (

-0.05)

79.88% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Derby County 66.81%

Wycombe Wanderers 13.64%

Draw 19.54%

Derby County	Draw	Wycombe Wanderers
2-0 @ 11.79% 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 66.81%	1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.54%	0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 13.64%