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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
66.82% ( 0.25) | 19.54% ( -0.12) | 13.64% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.11% ( 0.22) | 43.89% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.72% ( 0.22) | 66.28% ( -0.22) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.79% ( 0.14) | 12.21% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.11% ( 0.28) | 37.89% ( -0.29) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% ( -0.05) | 43.7% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% ( -0.05) | 79.88% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
2-0 @ 11.79% 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 66.81% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.54% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 13.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
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