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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
66.82% ( 0.25) | 19.54% ( -0.12) | 13.64% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.11% ( 0.22) | 43.89% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.72% ( 0.22) | 66.28% ( -0.22) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.79% ( 0.14) | 12.21% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.11% ( 0.28) | 37.89% ( -0.29) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% ( -0.05) | 43.7% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% ( -0.05) | 79.88% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
2-0 @ 11.79% 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 66.81% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.54% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 13.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |