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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
25.75% ( -0.12) | 26.12% ( -0.01) | 48.12% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 49.17% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.46% ( -0.04) | 54.53% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.11% ( -0.03) | 75.88% ( 0.03) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( -0.12) | 36.41% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( -0.12) | 73.2% ( 0.12) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% ( 0.04) | 22.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.67% ( 0.06) | 56.32% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.75% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |