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Wycombe Wanderers
Wycombe Wanderers
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Adams Park
Derby logo

Wycombe
3 - 2
Derby

Vokes (11'), Wing (77', 86')
Hanlan (37'), Obita (85'), Stryjek (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collins (66'), Dobbin (89')
Forsyth (70'), Collins (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-2 Derby County

Although Wycombe have won four of their last five home games, we think they will be beaten by a Derby side in red-hot form after recording six consecutive victories in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
25.75% (-0.119 -0.12) 26.12% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 48.12% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.53% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)75.88% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.59% (-0.121 -0.12)36.41% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.8% (-0.121 -0.12)73.2% (0.119 0.12)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (0.042999999999992 0.04)22.68% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (0.064 0.06)56.32% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 25.75%
    Derby County 48.12%
    Draw 26.11%
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.21% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.75%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.09% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.5% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.12%

How you voted: Wycombe vs Derby

Wycombe Wanderers
21.4%
Draw
3.6%
Derby County
75.0%
28
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Wycombe
1-2
Derby
Ikpeazu (48' pen.)
Allsop (16'), Stewart (53')
Ikpeazu (16' og.), Wisdom (90+4')
Mengi (63'), Wisdom (69')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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