Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.