We said: Barnsley 2-1 Exeter City
Exeter's success at Bristol Rovers can only have lifted spirits ahead of another away fixture, yet they are facing one of the form teams in the division. A competitive encounter may play out, yet we cannot back against Barnsley running out victors come the full-time whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.