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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Portsmouth

Bolton
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Collins (36')
Toal (32'), Santos (88'), Jerome (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kamara (7')
Lang (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Portsmouth

Pompey may won four of their previous five matches, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw, with Bolton currently enjoying a nine-game unbeaten home league run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
50.51% (0.11199999999999 0.11) 22.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 26.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
Both teams to score 61.93% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.77% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)38.22% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.5% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)60.5% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)15.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.85% (0.021999999999998 0.02)44.14% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)26.82% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (-0.152 -0.15)62.12% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 50.51%
    Portsmouth 26.94%
    Draw 22.54%
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 50.51%
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 26.94%

How you voted: Bolton vs Portsmouth

Bolton Wanderers
54.2%
Draw
4.2%
Portsmouth
41.7%
24
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Portsmouth
2-0
Bolton
Shaughnessy (45'), Yengi (88')
Robertson (10'), Sparkes (35'), Rafferty (85')

Thomason (14'), Sheehan (74'), Mendes Gomes (90+2'), Jones (90+5')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Portsmouth
3-1
Bolton
Towler (73', 84'), Bishop (87')
Charles (48')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
3-0
Portsmouth
Charles (15'), Lee (48'), Toal (71')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 40
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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