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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Portsmouth

Bolton
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Collins (36')
Toal (32'), Santos (88'), Jerome (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kamara (7')
Lang (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Portsmouth

Pompey may won four of their previous five matches, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw, with Bolton currently enjoying a nine-game unbeaten home league run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
50.51% (0.11199999999999 0.11) 22.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 26.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
Both teams to score 61.93% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.77% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)38.22% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.5% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)60.5% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)15.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.85% (0.021999999999998 0.02)44.14% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)26.82% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (-0.152 -0.15)62.12% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 50.51%
    Portsmouth 26.94%
    Draw 22.54%
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.52% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 50.51%
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 26.94%

How you voted: Bolton vs Portsmouth

Bolton Wanderers
54.2%
Draw
4.2%
Portsmouth
41.7%
24
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Portsmouth
2-0
Bolton
Shaughnessy (45'), Yengi (88')
Robertson (10'), Sparkes (35'), Rafferty (85')

Thomason (14'), Sheehan (74'), Mendes Gomes (90+2'), Jones (90+5')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Portsmouth
3-1
Bolton
Towler (73', 84'), Bishop (87')
Charles (48')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
3-0
Portsmouth
Charles (15'), Lee (48'), Toal (71')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 40
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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