We said: Mansfield Town 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers
Wycombe's impressive away record, coupled with Mansfield's struggles against them at home, gives the Chairboys a slight edge despite their recent managerial change.
The hosts' recent resurgence suggests they'll be competitive, but the visitors' attack, which has scored a whopping 32 goals on their travels, should see them edge a close contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wycombe Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wycombe Wanderers.