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League One
Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Morecambe
1 - 3
Plymouth

Weir (3')
Rawson (30'), Austerfield (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mayor (63'), Waine (86'), Matete (90+3')
Edwards (59'), Matete (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Morecambe and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth Argyle

 We can see Plymouth Argyle producing a big response after last weekend's Wembley humiliation, with the visitors expected to enhance their promotion prospects while piling more pressure on lowly Morecambe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
MorecambeDrawPlymouth Argyle
23.02% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 23.05% (0.0010000000000012 0) 53.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.024000000000001 0.02)44.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)66.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.035 0.04)69.82% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.99%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 23.02%
    Plymouth Argyle 53.93%
    Draw 23.05%
MorecambeDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.02%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-3 @ 5.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.68%
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.93%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Plymouth

Morecambe
11.5%
Draw
7.7%
Plymouth Argyle
80.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Morecambe
Ennis (69'), Cosgrove (84')
O'Connor (90+1')
Shaw (30')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Morecambe
Grant (14'), Hardie (43')

Connolly (34'), Stockton (59')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
Plymouth
Ayunga (6')
Jones (65')
Mayor (12')
Houghton (79'), Galloway (84')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
P-P
Plymouth
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Morecambe
Cooper (44'), Sarcevic (45' pen.), Grant (91')
Grant (19')

Brewitt (9')
Sutton (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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