Morecambe1 - 3Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth Argyle
We can see Plymouth Argyle producing a big response after last weekend's Wembley humiliation, with the visitors expected to enhance their promotion prospects while piling more pressure on lowly Morecambe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
23.02% ( 0.02) | 23.05% ( 0) | 53.93% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.69% ( 0.02) | 44.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( 0.02) | 66.69% ( -0.02) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( 0.03) | 33.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.18% ( 0.04) | 69.82% ( -0.03) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.63% ( 0) | 16.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.01% ( 0) | 45.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 5.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.02% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.92% 0-3 @ 5.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.93% |
