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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
23.02% ( 0.02) | 23.05% ( 0) | 53.93% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.86% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.69% ( 0.02) | 44.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.31% ( 0.02) | 66.69% ( -0.02) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% ( 0.03) | 33.21% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% ( 0.04) | 69.82% ( -0.03) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.63% ( 0) | 16.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.01% ( 0) | 45.99% |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 5.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.02% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-3 @ 5.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |