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League One
Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Morecambe
1 - 3
Plymouth

Weir (3')
Rawson (30'), Austerfield (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mayor (63'), Waine (86'), Matete (90+3')
Edwards (59'), Matete (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Morecambe and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth Argyle

 We can see Plymouth Argyle producing a big response after last weekend's Wembley humiliation, with the visitors expected to enhance their promotion prospects while piling more pressure on lowly Morecambe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
MorecambeDrawPlymouth Argyle
23.02% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 23.05% (0.0010000000000012 0) 53.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.024000000000001 0.02)44.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)66.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.035 0.04)69.82% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.99%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 23.02%
    Plymouth Argyle 53.93%
    Draw 23.05%
MorecambeDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.02%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-3 @ 5.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.68%
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.93%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Plymouth

Morecambe
11.5%
Draw
7.7%
Plymouth Argyle
80.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Morecambe
Ennis (69'), Cosgrove (84')
O'Connor (90+1')
Shaw (30')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Morecambe
Grant (14'), Hardie (43')

Connolly (34'), Stockton (59')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
Plymouth
Ayunga (6')
Jones (65')
Mayor (12')
Houghton (79'), Galloway (84')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
P-P
Plymouth
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Morecambe
Cooper (44'), Sarcevic (45' pen.), Grant (91')
Grant (19')

Brewitt (9')
Sutton (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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