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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Accrington
0 - 2
Plymouth


Sangare (17'), McConville (38'), Martin (42'), Longelo-Mbule (90+4')
Sangare (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Butcher (14'), Grant (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth have only won six of their 18 away league matches this season, but we are expecting the visitors to triumph in this match. Accrington's recent form has been disappointing, so it is difficult to back the strugglers to collect anything from Tuesday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
28.27% (-0.301 -0.3) 24.26% (0.309 0.31) 47.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.04% (-1.276 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-1.583 -1.58)45.16% (1.584 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-1.536 -1.54)67.5% (1.537 1.54)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-1.024 -1.02)29.46% (1.025 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (-1.268 -1.27)65.47% (1.271 1.27)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (-0.625 -0.63)19.13% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (-1.044 -1.04)50.77% (1.045 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.27%
    Plymouth Argyle 47.48%
    Draw 24.25%
Accrington StanleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.271 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 28.27%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.374 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.444 0.44)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.25% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 47.48%

How you voted: Accrington vs Plymouth

Accrington Stanley
18.2%
Draw
10.0%
Plymouth Argyle
71.8%
110
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
4-0
Accrington
Camara (12'), Edwards (37'), Ennis (64'), Hardie (79')
Camara (62')

Butcher (31')
Savin (68')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-4
Plymouth
Leigh (50')
Leigh (54'), Conneely (72')
Hamilton (23' og.), Houghton (44'), Broom (63'), Hardie (76')
Garrick (79'), Grant (84')
Feb 9, 2021 5.30pm
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Accrington
Jephcott (43'), Ennis (78')
Opoku (87'), Lewis (88')
Pritchard (41'), Charles (47')
Barclay (63'), Butcher (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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