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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Accrington
0 - 2
Plymouth


Sangare (17'), McConville (38'), Martin (42'), Longelo-Mbule (90+4')
Sangare (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Butcher (14'), Grant (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth have only won six of their 18 away league matches this season, but we are expecting the visitors to triumph in this match. Accrington's recent form has been disappointing, so it is difficult to back the strugglers to collect anything from Tuesday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
28.27% (-0.301 -0.3) 24.26% (0.309 0.31) 47.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.04% (-1.276 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-1.583 -1.58)45.16% (1.584 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-1.536 -1.54)67.5% (1.537 1.54)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-1.024 -1.02)29.46% (1.025 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (-1.268 -1.27)65.47% (1.271 1.27)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (-0.625 -0.63)19.13% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (-1.044 -1.04)50.77% (1.045 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.27%
    Plymouth Argyle 47.48%
    Draw 24.25%
Accrington StanleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.271 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 28.27%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.374 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.444 0.44)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.25% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 47.48%

How you voted: Accrington vs Plymouth

Accrington Stanley
18.2%
Draw
10.0%
Plymouth Argyle
71.8%
110
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
4-0
Accrington
Camara (12'), Edwards (37'), Ennis (64'), Hardie (79')
Camara (62')

Butcher (31')
Savin (68')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-4
Plymouth
Leigh (50')
Leigh (54'), Conneely (72')
Hamilton (23' og.), Houghton (44'), Broom (63'), Hardie (76')
Garrick (79'), Grant (84')
Feb 9, 2021 5.30pm
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Accrington
Jephcott (43'), Ennis (78')
Opoku (87'), Lewis (88')
Pritchard (41'), Charles (47')
Barclay (63'), Butcher (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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