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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
61.79% | 22.29% | 15.92% |
Both teams to score 46.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.05% | 50.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.18% | 72.82% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84% | 16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.68% | 45.32% |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.21% | 44.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.23% | 80.77% |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 12.03% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 5.91% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.37% 5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.94% Total : 61.79% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.75% 1-2 @ 4.24% 0-2 @ 2.31% 1-3 @ 1.13% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.45% Total : 15.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |