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League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Bolton logo

Peterborough
3 - 3
Bolton

Mothersille (50', 79'), Randall (67')
Randall (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dempsey (4'), Charles (8' pen.), Jerome (82')
Cogley (58'), Thomason (61'), Toal (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

While Peterborough will have one eye on the playoffs, Bolton will be fully focused on Saturday's away clash as they attempt to leapfrog Derby and secure automatic promotion. Although their fate may be out of their hands, we still expect the Trotters to do their job by claiming all three points against Peterborough. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
55.6% (0.209 0.21) 21.81% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 22.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.87% (0.095999999999997 0.1)39.13% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.54% (0.1 0.1)61.45% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (0.096999999999994 0.1)14.01% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (0.188 0.19)41.54% (-0.188 -0.19)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.71% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)66.96% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 55.6%
    Bolton Wanderers 22.59%
    Draw 21.81%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 55.6%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Bolton

Peterborough United
16.7%
Draw
5.6%
Bolton Wanderers
77.8%
18
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bolton
1-1
Peterborough
Adeboyejo (43')
Iredale (4'), Evatt (5'), Cogley (39'), Dempsey (47'), Thomason (81')
Jones (45+3')
Clarke-Harris (42')
Kioso (39'), Collins (90+4')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Peterborough
0-5
Bolton
Santos (12', 77'), Charles (42' pen., 47', 51')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
1-0
Bolton
Toney (23')
Eisa (39')

Murphy (15'), Bridcutt (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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