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League One | Gameweek 33
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Port Vale

Peterborough
3 - 0
Port Vale

Randall (45+2'), Burrows (56' pen.), Iacovitti (86' og.)
Knight (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ojo (8'), Lowe (77'), Ikpeazu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Port Vale

After losing their last three matches, Peterborough will view Tuesday's contest as an opportunity to return to winning ways against a struggling Port Vale side, and we think that Posh will ultimately do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
67.97% (-0.203 -0.2) 18.31% (0.105 0.11) 13.72% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (-0.277 -0.28)38% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.74% (-0.293 -0.29)60.26% (0.291 0.29)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77% (-0.127 -0.13)10.23% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.44% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)33.56% (0.286 0.29)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)39.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.48% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)76.51% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 67.97%
    Port Vale 13.72%
    Draw 18.31%
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 67.97%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.31%
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 13.72%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Port Vale

Peterborough United
71.2%
Draw
18.2%
Port Vale
10.6%
66
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Port Vale
0-1
Peterborough

Garrity (32')
Mason-Clark (14')
Collins (24'), Poku (55'), Kioso (73'), Kyprianou (79'), Crichlow (90+8')
Jan 16, 2023 8pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Peterborough
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham8710178922
2Wrexham9522147717
3Mansfield TownMansfield85211511417
4Stockport CountyStockport8431137615
5Lincoln CityLincoln8431137615
6Blackpool94321714315
7Barnsley94321513215
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe84221613314
9Stevenage942375214
10Exeter CityExeter841396313
11Bolton WanderersBolton84131313013
12Reading84131212013
13Charlton AthleticCharlton941499013
14Wigan AthleticWigan933395412
15Huddersfield TownHuddersfield94051211112
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough93241417-311
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham9243710-310
18Bristol Rovers93151015-510
19Northampton TownNorthampton82241013-38
20Leyton Orient9225912-38
21Crawley TownCrawley8215512-77
22Burton Albion8044916-74
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury9117615-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge8017616-101


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