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League One | Gameweek 33
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Port Vale

Peterborough
3 - 0
Port Vale

Randall (45+2'), Burrows (56' pen.), Iacovitti (86' og.)
Knight (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ojo (8'), Lowe (77'), Ikpeazu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Port Vale

After losing their last three matches, Peterborough will view Tuesday's contest as an opportunity to return to winning ways against a struggling Port Vale side, and we think that Posh will ultimately do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
67.97% (-0.203 -0.2) 18.31% (0.105 0.11) 13.72% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (-0.277 -0.28)38% (0.275 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.74% (-0.293 -0.29)60.26% (0.291 0.29)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77% (-0.127 -0.13)10.23% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.44% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)33.56% (0.286 0.29)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)39.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.48% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)76.51% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 67.97%
    Port Vale 13.72%
    Draw 18.31%
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.22% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 67.97%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.31%
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 13.72%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Port Vale

Peterborough United
71.2%
Draw
18.2%
Port Vale
10.6%
66
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Port Vale
0-1
Peterborough

Garrity (32')
Mason-Clark (14')
Collins (24'), Poku (55'), Kioso (73'), Kyprianou (79'), Crichlow (90+8')
Jan 16, 2023 8pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Peterborough
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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