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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Port Vale |
67.97% ( -0.2) | 18.31% ( 0.11) | 13.72% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 53.99% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62% ( -0.28) | 38% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.74% ( -0.29) | 60.26% ( 0.29) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.77% ( -0.13) | 10.23% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.44% ( -0.29) | 33.56% ( 0.29) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.15% ( -0.04) | 39.85% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.48% ( -0.03) | 76.51% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Port Vale |
2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.7% Total : 67.97% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.31% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
6 | Blackpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 |
7 | Barnsley | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Stevenage | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Reading | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
15 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 11 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |