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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Bolton
2 - 2
Shrewsbury

Jerome (40'), Maghoma (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Udoh (21'), Shipley (43')
Marosi (40'), Bennett (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Wycombe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Shrewsbury Town

Although Bolton were involved in a draw on Saturday, they have managed to win five of their last eight home matches, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim three points in Tuesday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawShrewsbury Town
73.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 16.18% (0.0019999999999989 0) 10.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 52.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.32% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)57.68% (0.012 0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)8.43% (0.0030999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.72% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)43.06% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)79.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 73.07%
    Shrewsbury Town 10.75%
    Draw 16.18%
Bolton WanderersDrawShrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 11.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 9.15% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.66%
4-1 @ 4.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.8%
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
6-0 @ 1.15%
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 73.07%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 3.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.18%
1-2 @ 3.19%
0-1 @ 3.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.75%

How you voted: Bolton vs Shrewsbury

Bolton Wanderers
81.8%
Draw
12.7%
Shrewsbury Town
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Shrewsbury
0-2
Bolton
Maghoma (65'), Morley (90+8')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Shrewsbury
3-2
Bolton
Street (2'), Saydee (79'), Dunkley (90+2')
Charles (13', 71')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Shrewsbury
0-1
Bolton

Pennington (32'), Ogbeta (67')
Charles (89')
Charles (90')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Bolton
2-1
Shrewsbury
Sarcevic (18'), Afolayan (23')
Santos (88')
Leahy (89')
Bennett (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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