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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Peterborough United |
29.82% ( 0.09) | 22.65% ( 0.07) | 47.53% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 63.85% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.33% ( -0.31) | 36.67% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.17% ( -0.33) | 58.82% ( 0.33) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% ( -0.1) | 24.14% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.55% ( -0.14) | 58.44% ( 0.14) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.16% ( -0.17) | 15.84% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.97% ( -0.32) | 45.03% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.82% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.83% Total : 47.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |