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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Peterborough United

Oxford Utd
5 - 0
Peterborough

Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Katongo (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Peterborough United

With both sides heading into this clash following handsome victories, we are expecting a hard-fought battle between Oxford and Peterborough as they attempt to keep their promotion aims on track. Posh were able to cruise to the win over Port Vale during the week, meaning that Ferguson's troops should have enough left in the tank to collect a point at the Kassam on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
29.82% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 22.65% (0.073 0.07) 47.53% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 63.85% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.33% (-0.306 -0.31)36.67% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.17% (-0.334 -0.33)58.82% (0.332 0.33)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)24.14% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.139 -0.14)58.44% (0.137 0.14)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16% (-0.175 -0.17)15.84% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.97% (-0.323 -0.32)45.03% (0.322 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 29.82%
    Peterborough United 47.53%
    Draw 22.65%
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.82%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.49% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.03% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 47.53%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Peterborough

Oxford United
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Peterborough United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-0
Peterborough
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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