EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 2
Rotherham

Benning (81')
Smith (44')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rathbone (8'), Ogbene (45+4')
Bramall (78'), Rathbone (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Port Vale and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Oxford United	2	0	3
17	Port Vale	2	-3	3
18	Portsmouth	2	0	2

Rotherham United

Last Six:

Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Coventry City	1	0	1
19	Rotherham United	1	0	1
20	Middlesbrough	2	-1	1

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Rotherham United

Rotherham United may rest some key players and a trip to Vale Park should pose a tough test, but we ultimately see Warne's side coming through the challenge and progressing to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rotherham United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rotherham United.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Rotherham United
32.91% ( 0.06)	26.69% ( 0.22)	40.41% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 51.42% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.49% (

-0.9)

53.51% (

0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.97% (

-0.77)

75.03% (

0.77)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

-0.41)

30.49% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29% (

-0.49)

66.71% (

0.49)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.98% (

-0.56)

26.02% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.95% (

-0.77)

61.05% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 32.91%

Rotherham United 40.4%

Draw 26.68%

Port Vale	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.91%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.4%