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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Lincoln City |
58.44% ( 1.45) | 22.67% ( -0.56) | 18.89% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 50.9% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.12% ( 1.1) | 47.89% ( -1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.94% ( 1) | 70.07% ( -0.99) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.93% ( 0.89) | 16.07% ( -0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.55% ( 1.6) | 45.45% ( -1.59) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.65% ( -0.34) | 39.35% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.95% ( -0.32) | 76.05% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.16% Total : 58.43% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 18.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |