League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 0
Forest Green

Harvie (58')
O'Hora (19'), McEachran (64'), Tucker (77'), Johnson (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Little (76'), Casey (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between MK Dons and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

League One

Last Game: MK Dons 0-3 Leicester
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 4-0 Forest Green
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Forest Green Rovers

The side with just one home win this season welcomes visitors with just one win on the road, so we are expecting this to be a tight and cagey relegation scrap. Optimism is high for the arrival of a promising new coach for the Dons, but Forest Green's two wins in their last three proves that they are up for the fight, and that they should be able to secure at least a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
54.86% ( 0.03)	22.85% ( 0.01)	22.3% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.6% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.78% (

-0.09)

44.22% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.4% (

-0.08)

66.6% (

0.08)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99% (

-0.02)

16.01% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.66% (

-0.03)

45.34% (

0.03)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

-0.09)

33.81% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

-0.09)

70.47% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 54.86%

Forest Green Rovers 22.3%

Draw 22.84%

MK Dons	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.86%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.84%	0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.3%