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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
54.86% (![]() | 22.85% (![]() | 22.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% (![]() | 44.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% (![]() | 66.6% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.99% (![]() | 16.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.66% (![]() | 45.34% (![]() |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% (![]() | 33.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.53% (![]() | 70.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.92% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.86% | 1-1 @ 10.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 5.87% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 65 | 26 | 39 | 89 |
2 | Wrexham | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 32 | 24 | 78 |
3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 39 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 75 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 72 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 40 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 71 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 63 |
7 | Reading | 39 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 62 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 39 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 61 |
9 | Blackpool | 40 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 62 | 51 | 11 | 60 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 59 |
11 | Barnsley | 40 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 54 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 53 |
13 | Stevenage | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 49 |
14 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 48 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 48 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 48 |
17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 44 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 43 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 42 |
21 | Burton Albion | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 39 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 40 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 36 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 40 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 32 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 39 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 29 |
> League One Full Table |