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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Forest Green Rovers

MK Dons
1 - 0
Forest Green

Harvie (58')
O'Hora (19'), McEachran (64'), Tucker (77'), Johnson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Little (76'), Casey (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between MK Dons and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-3 Leicester
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Forest Green Rovers

The side with just one home win this season welcomes visitors with just one win on the road, so we are expecting this to be a tight and cagey relegation scrap. Optimism is high for the arrival of a promising new coach for the Dons, but Forest Green's two wins in their last three proves that they are up for the fight, and that they should be able to secure at least a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawForest Green Rovers
54.86% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 22.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.3% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)44.22% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)66.6% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)16.01% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)45.34% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)33.81% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)70.47% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 54.86%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.3%
    Draw 22.84%
MK DonsDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 54.86%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 22.3%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Forest Green

MK Dons
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Forest Green Rovers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Forest Green
Aneke (31')
Cisse (89')
Reid (80' pen.)
Gunning (52')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Forest Green
0-1
MK Dons
Ariyibi (110')
Cisse (28'), Ebanks-Landell (37'), Williams (45'), Downing (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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