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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
54.86% ( 0.03) | 22.85% ( 0.01) | 22.3% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( -0.09) | 44.22% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% ( -0.08) | 66.6% ( 0.08) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.99% ( -0.02) | 16.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.66% ( -0.03) | 45.34% ( 0.03) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% ( -0.09) | 33.81% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.53% ( -0.09) | 70.47% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.86% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |