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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
51.39% ( -0.04) | 25.4% ( -0) | 23.21% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.78% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.2% ( 0.06) | 53.8% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.73% ( 0.05) | 75.27% ( -0.05) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% ( 0.01) | 20.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.3% ( 0.01) | 53.7% ( -0.01) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.71% ( 0.08) | 38.29% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.95% ( 0.08) | 75.05% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |