League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Forest Green1 - 2Burton Albion
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Forest Green
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-0 Lincoln
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-2 Burton Albion
Although Forest Green have won their last three home games, Burton would have taken confidence from their 3-0 win over Lincoln, and after beating their opponents earlier in the season, we think that the Brewers will claim a narrow victory on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burton Albion in this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Burton Albion |
46.91% ( 0) | 25.76% ( -0.01) | 27.33% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
