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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Forest Green Rovers

Exeter
1 - 1
Forest Green

Brown (75')
Nombe (51'), White (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garrick (54')
Stevenson (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Exeter
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

Forest Green Rovers are in desperate need of a win after their recent results, but they are coming up against Exeter at completely the wrong time, with the hosts likely to be full of confidence after their recent victories. As such, we expect the Grecians to run out comprehensive 2-0 winners, extending their winning run to three games on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawForest Green Rovers
53.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 23.92% (0.0039999999999978 0) 22.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)48.83% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)70.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)48.98% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (0.004999999999999 0)73.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 53.8%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.28%
    Draw 23.92%
Exeter CityDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.8%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: Exeter vs Forest Green

Exeter City
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Forest Green Rovers
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Forest Green
4-1
Exeter
Matt (12'), Peart-Harris (51' pen.), Billington (54' og.), O'Keeffe (63')
Bunker (7')
Jay (41')
Sep 24, 2022 12.30pm
Forest Green
0-4
Exeter

Stevenson (25')
Nombe (6'), Brown (26' pen., 41', 83')
Jan 4, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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