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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
53.8% (![]() | 23.92% (![]() | 22.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.16% (![]() | 48.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.07% (![]() | 70.93% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% (![]() | 18.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.02% (![]() | 48.98% (![]() |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.6% (![]() | 36.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.81% (![]() | 73.18% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.8% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 79 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 68 |
3 | Wrexham | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 62 |
5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 60 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 58 |
8 | Reading | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 55 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 53 |
10 | Barnsley | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Blackpool | 35 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 48 |
12 | Stevenage | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 46 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 43 |
16 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 41 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 41 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 40 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 39 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
21 | Burton Albion | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 33 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 29 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |