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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
53.8% ( -0.02) | 23.92% ( 0) | 22.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.16% ( -0.01) | 48.83% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.07% ( -0.01) | 70.93% ( 0.01) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.93% ( -0.01) | 18.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.02% ( -0.01) | 48.98% ( 0.01) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.6% ( 0.01) | 36.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.81% ( 0) | 73.18% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.8% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |