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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Gillingham

Colchester
2 - 0
Gillingham

Taylor (6'), Gordon (85')
Cowley (0'), Egbo (75'), McDonnell (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ogie (87'), Clarke (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Colchester
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-2 Cheltenham
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-0 Gillingham

With two of the division's lowest-scoring teams going head-to-head, we are anticipating a drab affair and a narrow triumph for the hosts when all is said and done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
50.99% (0.426 0.43) 26.05% (0.029 0.03) 22.96% (-0.458 -0.46)
Both teams to score 46.69% (-0.57 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6% (-0.492 -0.49)56.4% (0.48800000000001 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.58% (-0.401 -0.4)77.41% (0.396 0.4)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)22.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)55.6% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60% (-0.716 -0.72)40% (0.712 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35% (-0.664 -0.66)76.65% (0.66000000000001 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 50.98%
    Gillingham 22.96%
    Draw 26.04%
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.168 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 50.98%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 22.96%

How you voted: Colchester vs Gillingham

Colchester United
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Gillingham
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Colchester
0-1
Gillingham

Iandolo (32')
Malone (54')
Bonne (80'), Lapslie (90'), Malone (90+4')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Gillingham
0-3
Colchester

Malone (35'), Williams (41')
Coleman (86')
Kelleher (64'), Tovide (77'), Ihionvien (82')
Taylor (18'), Egbo (33'), Tchamadeu (40'), Ihionvien (83')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Colchester
0-2
Gillingham
Tutonda (36'), Nichols (45+3')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gillingham
1-1
Colchester
(Aggregate 1-1 | Gillingham win 5-4 on penalties)
Walker (43')
Akinde (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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