Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 25.24% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Newport County win is 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.83%).