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Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Grimsby Town

Newport
0 - 0
Grimsby Town


Wildig (63'), Baker (71'), Whitmore (78')
FT

McJannett (58'), Green (65'), Thompson (78'), Rodgers (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Newport County 1-1 Grimsby Town

Grimsby are yet to draw in the league this season, but we believe that run will come to an end on Saturday. Two of the last three League Two contests between these two sides have finished level, and we can see a tight match ending 1-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawGrimsby Town
32.85% (0.159 0.16) 25.23% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 41.93% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.155 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (-0.225 -0.23)47.35% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (-0.207 -0.21)69.57% (0.205 0.2)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.205 -0.2)22.5% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-0.306 -0.31)56.07% (0.302 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 32.85%
    Grimsby Town 41.93%
    Draw 25.22%
Newport CountyDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.073 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.85%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Newport vs Grimsby Town

Newport County
34.8%
Draw
8.7%
Grimsby Town
56.5%
23
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Grimsby Town
1-0
Newport
Rose (33')
Green (36'), Thompson (80')

Charsley (36'), Jephcott (54')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Newport
1-1
Grimsby Town
Bogle (72')
Bogle (90+4')
Rose (78')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Newport
0-2
Grimsby Town

Bennett (22'), Evans (90+2')
Morris (63'), Clifton (83')
Kiernan (80'), Smith (88')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Newport
1-0
Grimsby Town
Maynard (51')
Bennett (37')

Matete (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920


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