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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Grimsby Town

Newport
0 - 0
Grimsby Town


Wildig (63'), Baker (71'), Whitmore (78')
FT

McJannett (58'), Green (65'), Thompson (78'), Rodgers (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Reading 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Newport County 1-1 Grimsby Town

 Grimsby are yet to draw in the league this season, but we believe that run will come to an end on Saturday. Two of the last three League Two contests between these two sides have finished level, and we can see a tight match ending 1-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawGrimsby Town
32.85% (0.159 0.16) 25.23% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 41.93% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.155 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (-0.225 -0.23)47.35% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (-0.207 -0.21)69.57% (0.205 0.2)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.205 -0.2)22.5% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-0.306 -0.31)56.07% (0.302 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 32.85%
    Grimsby Town 41.93%
    Draw 25.22%
Newport CountyDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.073 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.85%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Newport vs Grimsby Town

Newport County
34.8%
Draw
8.7%
Grimsby Town
56.5%
23
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Grimsby Town
1-0
Newport
Rose (33')
Green (36'), Thompson (80')

Charsley (36'), Jephcott (54')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Newport
1-1
Grimsby Town
Bogle (72')
Bogle (90+4')
Rose (78')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Grimsby Town
1-1
Newport
McAtee (36')
Farquharson (55')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Newport
0-2
Grimsby Town

Bennett (22'), Evans (90+2')
Morris (63'), Clifton (83')
Kiernan (80'), Smith (88')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Newport
1-0
Grimsby Town
Maynard (51')
Bennett (37')

Matete (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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