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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
32.85% ( 0.16) | 25.23% ( 0.06) | 41.93% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.65% ( -0.23) | 47.35% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.43% ( -0.21) | 69.57% ( 0.2) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( -0.01) | 27.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.02% ( -0.01) | 62.98% ( 0.01) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( -0.2) | 22.5% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% ( -0.31) | 56.07% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |