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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
40.21% ( 0.66) | 25.64% ( 0.05) | 34.14% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 55.16% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% ( -0.33) | 48.85% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.05% ( -0.3) | 70.95% ( 0.29) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( 0.19) | 24.01% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.73% ( 0.27) | 58.27% ( -0.28) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( -0.58) | 27.41% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.11% ( -0.76) | 62.88% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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