League Two

League Two | Gameweek 27

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
2 - 2
Colchester

Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Swindon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swindon Town 0-2 Colchester United

Colchester United will hope that Cowley's appointment has an immediate positive impact on the squad, and against a Swindon Town side who have just lost their two main attacking outlets at the start of the month, we fancy the visitors to prevail in their first game under new management this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Colchester United
54.76% ( -0.11)	21.58% ( 0.05)	23.65% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 61.82% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.18% (

-0.16)

36.82% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.01% (

-0.17)

58.99% (

0.17)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.51% (

-0.09)

13.49% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.48% (

-0.17)

40.52% (

0.17)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.46% (

-0.04)

28.54% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.68% (

-0.05)

64.33% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 54.76%

Colchester United 23.65%

Draw 21.58%

Swindon Town	Draw	Colchester United
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 54.76%	1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.58%	1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 23.65%