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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
2 - 2
Colchester

Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Swindon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 0-2 Colchester United

 Colchester United will hope that Cowley's appointment has an immediate positive impact on the squad, and against a Swindon Town side who have just lost their two main attacking outlets at the start of the month, we fancy the visitors to prevail in their first game under new management this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
54.76% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11) 21.58% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 23.65% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.82% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.18% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)36.82% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.01% (-0.172 -0.17)58.99% (0.174 0.17)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)13.49% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (-0.172 -0.17)40.52% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)28.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)64.33% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.76%
    Colchester United 23.65%
    Draw 21.58%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.58%
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 23.65%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Colchester United
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')
> Preview
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Colchester
1-0
Swindon
Hannant (30')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Swindon
1-0
Colchester
Shade (64')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
> Preview
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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