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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Crewe
0 - 3
Wrexham


Williams (45'), Rowe (45'), Nevitt (85')
Cooney (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Palmer (24'), Mullin (45+1'), Cannon (61')
McClean (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 6-0 Forest Green
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-3 Wrexham

 Crewe need the points much more than their opponents at this point in this season as they are still looking to secure a place in the playoffs. However, the recent form of the hosts has been poor, and that is something that Wrexham could take advantage of as they prepare for life in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawWrexham
28.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.41%46.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06%67.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.41%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 28.62%
    Wrexham 46.98%
    Draw 24.41%
Crewe AlexandraDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 28.62%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.11%
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.09%
0-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.98%

How you voted: Crewe vs Wrexham

Crewe Alexandra
18.8%
Draw
18.8%
Wrexham
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Crewe
0-3
Wrexham

Colkett (33')
Offord (72')
Offord (5' og.), Davies (13'), Young (73' pen.)
Davies (11')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
3-3
Crewe
Mullin (40', 47'), Fletcher (90+5')
Palmer (11'), Parkinson (12'), McClean (45+2'), Boyle (45+4'), Mullin (90+2')
Barnett (36')
Demetriou (24'), Long (45+5' pen.), Tracey (65')
Tracey (33'), Williams (79'), Davies (82'), Holicek (87')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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