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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Crewe
0 - 3
Wrexham


Williams (45'), Rowe (45'), Nevitt (85')
Cooney (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Palmer (24'), Mullin (45+1'), Cannon (61')
McClean (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 6-0 Forest Green
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-3 Wrexham

 Crewe need the points much more than their opponents at this point in this season as they are still looking to secure a place in the playoffs. However, the recent form of the hosts has been poor, and that is something that Wrexham could take advantage of as they prepare for life in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawWrexham
28.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.41%46.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06%67.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.41%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 28.62%
    Wrexham 46.98%
    Draw 24.41%
Crewe AlexandraDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 28.62%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.11%
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.09%
0-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.98%

How you voted: Crewe vs Wrexham

Crewe Alexandra
18.8%
Draw
18.8%
Wrexham
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Crewe
0-3
Wrexham

Colkett (33')
Offord (72')
Offord (5' og.), Davies (13'), Young (73' pen.)
Davies (11')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
3-3
Crewe
Mullin (40', 47'), Fletcher (90+5')
Palmer (11'), Parkinson (12'), McClean (45+2'), Boyle (45+4'), Mullin (90+2')
Barnett (36')
Demetriou (24'), Long (45+5' pen.), Tracey (65')
Tracey (33'), Williams (79'), Davies (82'), Holicek (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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