Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Utd 5-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, November 5 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Crawley 1-4 Accrington
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: Burnley 3-0 Crawley Town
Burnley will look to regain some confidence ahead of the Lancashire Derby with Blackburn with a convincing win here, and should get past a lowly Crawley quite comfortably. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Crawley Town |
69.84% ( 0.05) | 17.91% ( -0.03) | 12.25% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.9% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.19% ( 0.06) | 39.82% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.83% ( 0.07) | 62.17% ( -0.07) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.74% ( 0.03) | 10.26% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.37% ( 0.07) | 33.63% ( -0.07) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.72% | 43.28% ( -0) |