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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
24.71% ( -0.59) | 24.39% ( -0.22) | 50.9% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 53.44% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.56% ( 0.42) | 48.44% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.42% ( 0.38) | 70.58% ( -0.38) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.01% ( -0.27) | 33.99% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.33% ( -0.29) | 70.67% ( 0.29) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.96% ( 0.49) | 19.04% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.38% ( 0.8) | 50.62% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.71% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |