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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Swindon Town

Wrexham
5 - 5
Swindon

Bickerstaff (29'), Lee (51' pen., 90+6'), Jones (55', 90+2')
Boyle (76')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Young (17', 34'), Austin (27'), Kemp (31', 71')
Brewitt (20'), Kemp (56'), Blake-Tracy (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 4-2 Walsall
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Swindon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 3-2 Swindon Town

 An entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action is expected between these two sides on Saturday and both teams will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points. However, we believe that Wrexham will follow up their midweek home triumph with another success in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawSwindon Town
44.43% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 23.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 31.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-0.012 -0.01)41.38% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.012 -0.01)63.78% (0.012 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)50.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96%60.04%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 44.43%
    Swindon Town 31.73%
    Draw 23.83%
WrexhamDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 44.43%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.73%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Swindon

Wrexham
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Swindon Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2007 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Wrexham
Zaaboub (9'), Roberts (71' pen.)
Weston (55')
Williams (8')
Mitchell (37'), Roche (56'), Spender (63')
Sep 9, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Swindon
Valentine (68' pen.), Jones (69')
Williams (27'), Roche (34')
Evans (28')
Brown (58'), Brezovan (69'), Peacock (79')
Mar 19, 2005 3pm
Swindon
4-2
Wrexham
Smith (80'), Parkin (40', 76', 90' pen.)
Sam (32'), Ugarte (16')
Llewellyn (84')
Aug 7, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Swindon
Lawrence (24'), Armstrong (73' pen.)
Holt (66'), Ferguson (89')

Gurney (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
> League Two Full Table


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