Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.