Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.
