League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport3 - 1Gillingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Doncaster 3-0 Newport
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
41
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Newport County 1-1 Gillingham
Newport's lack of goals in recent matches is a major concern, particularly as two of their last three scoreless outings have come at Rodney Parade. The return of Baker-Richardson could provide a much-needed boost in attack, but it may not be enough for the Exiles to claim all three points against a Gillingham that have shown improved defensive resilience in recent weeks, which is why we expect them to hold out for a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Gillingham |
30.78% ( -0.57) | 28.01% ( -0.35) | 41.21% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 46.81% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
