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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
48.1% ( 0) | 24.36% | 27.54% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.14% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.91% ( -0) | 46.09% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.61% ( -0) | 68.39% ( 0) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.75% | 19.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.04% ( 0) | 50.96% ( -0) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% ( -0) | 30.48% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.31% ( -0) | 66.69% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.13% Total : 48.1% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.97% 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.04% Total : 27.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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