Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Stockport County in this match.