League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Feb 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Spotland

Rochdale
1 - 1
Port Vale

Ball (90+3')
O'Connell (76'), O'Keeffe (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garrity (45')
Worrall (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rochdale 2-2 Port Vale

There is good reason for either side to be a little rusty this week, as they have both experienced an enforced mid-winter break due to the current circumstances. Earlier this month, the two teams were already faltering, so perhaps a score draw would be an acceptable result for a pair of capable attacking sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Port Vale
36.15%	26.14%	37.71%

Both teams to score 53.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.22%

50.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.33%

72.67%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86%

27.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.47%

62.52%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76%

26.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66%

61.34%

Score Analysis

Rochdale 36.15%

Port Vale 37.71%

Draw 26.13%

Rochdale	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.15%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 9.53% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.71%