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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Sutton United

Salford City
1 - 2
Sutton

Watson (50')
Vassell (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanderson (45+2', 63')
Smith (20'), Sanderson (56'), N'Guessan (88'), Beautyman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Salford City and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-1 Sutton United

Sutton has been stringing some good results together lately, and they are in greater need of points in the fight for survival. However, the hosts have been strong recently as well, and with Salford boasting the home advantage here they could just get over the line and take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawSutton United
47.55% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 23.45% (-0.13 -0.13) 28.99% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.36% (0.522 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.98% (0.662 0.66)41.02% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.59% (0.67100000000001 0.67)63.41% (-0.667 -0.67)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (0.277 0.28)17.49% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (0.478 0.48)47.98% (-0.474 -0.47)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.39 0.39)26.85% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (0.50700000000001 0.51)62.15% (-0.50299999999999 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 47.55%
    Sutton United 28.99%
    Draw 23.45%
Salford CityDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 47.55%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Salford City vs Sutton

Salford City
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Sutton
0-2
Salford City

Kizzi (12')
Smith (54'), N'Mai (65')
Smith (23'), Bolton (44'), Lund (77')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Salford City
2-0
Sutton
McAleny (9', 45+1')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Sutton
1-2
Salford City
Neufville (62')
Lund (80'), Watson (87')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sutton
0-0
Salford City
John (52'), Milsom (84')
Ndaba (86')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Salford City
0-0
Sutton
McAleny (42'), Lowe (61'), Elliott (90+3')
Davis (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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