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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Sutton United |
47.55% ( 0.05) | 23.45% ( -0.13) | 28.99% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 60.36% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.98% ( 0.66) | 41.02% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.59% ( 0.67) | 63.41% ( -0.67) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.51% ( 0.28) | 17.49% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.02% ( 0.48) | 47.98% ( -0.47) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% ( 0.39) | 26.85% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.84% ( 0.51) | 62.15% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.9% Total : 47.55% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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