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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Sutton United |
47.55% ( 0.05) | 23.45% ( -0.13) | 28.99% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 60.36% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.98% ( 0.66) | 41.02% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.59% ( 0.67) | 63.41% ( -0.67) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.51% ( 0.28) | 17.49% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.02% ( 0.48) | 47.98% ( -0.47) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% ( 0.39) | 26.85% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.84% ( 0.51) | 62.15% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.9% Total : 47.55% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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