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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Doncaster Rovers
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Harrogate Town
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Morecambe

Salford City
3 - 1
Morecambe

McLennan (13'), Hendry (50'), Tilt (79')
Robinson (35'), McLennan (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vassell (61' og.)
Garner (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Salford City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 5-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-3 Morecambe

Salford City might have the home advantage this weekend, but that does not make them the favorites and their poor run of form could continue here. The defensive issues that the Ammies have dealt with throughout the season is likely to be their downfall in this one, which Morecambe will attempt to exploit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawMorecambe
45.2% (1.437 1.44) 22.9% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 31.9% (-1.372 -1.37)
Both teams to score 64.15% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (-0.227 -0.23)36.77% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.06% (-0.246 -0.25)58.94% (0.245 0.25)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (0.47 0.47)16.74% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33% (0.834 0.83)46.67% (-0.835 -0.84)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.875 -0.88)22.95% (0.873 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (-1.305 -1.31)56.73% (1.304 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 45.2%
    Morecambe 31.9%
    Draw 22.89%
Salford CityDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.169 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.206 0.21)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Salford City vs Morecambe

Salford City
12.5%
Draw
50.0%
Morecambe
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
1-0
Salford City
Mellon (25')

Lund (90+5')
Feb 23, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Morecambe
2-1
Salford City
Mendes Gomes (90+4'), Wildig (90+6')
Songo'o (49'), Lavelle (90')
Thomas-Asante (45+1')
Threlkeld (90+2'), Turnbull (90+5'), Hladky (90+9')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Salford City
2-1
Morecambe
Hunter (41', 44')
Denny (6'), Smith (10'), Henderson (28'), Andrade (36'), Elliott (86')
Stockton (54')
Lavelle (40'), Songo'o (61'), Cooney (90+3')
Sep 29, 2020 7.45pm
Group Stage
Salford City
2-0
Morecambe
Wilson (44'), Hunter (90+2')
Thomas-Asante (75'), Touray (79')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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