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Walsall
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Morecambe

Salford City
3 - 1
Morecambe

McLennan (13'), Hendry (50'), Tilt (79')
Robinson (35'), McLennan (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vassell (61' og.)
Garner (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Salford City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 5-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-3 Morecambe

Salford City might have the home advantage this weekend, but that does not make them the favorites and their poor run of form could continue here. The defensive issues that the Ammies have dealt with throughout the season is likely to be their downfall in this one, which Morecambe will attempt to exploit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawMorecambe
45.2% (1.437 1.44) 22.9% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 31.9% (-1.372 -1.37)
Both teams to score 64.15% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (-0.227 -0.23)36.77% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.06% (-0.246 -0.25)58.94% (0.245 0.25)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (0.47 0.47)16.74% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33% (0.834 0.83)46.67% (-0.835 -0.84)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.875 -0.88)22.95% (0.873 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (-1.305 -1.31)56.73% (1.304 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 45.2%
    Morecambe 31.9%
    Draw 22.89%
Salford CityDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.87% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.169 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.206 0.21)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 45.2%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Salford City vs Morecambe

Salford City
12.5%
Draw
50.0%
Morecambe
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
1-0
Salford City
Mellon (25')

Lund (90+5')
Feb 23, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Morecambe
2-1
Salford City
Mendes Gomes (90+4'), Wildig (90+6')
Songo'o (49'), Lavelle (90')
Thomas-Asante (45+1')
Threlkeld (90+2'), Turnbull (90+5'), Hladky (90+9')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Salford City
2-1
Morecambe
Hunter (41', 44')
Denny (6'), Smith (10'), Henderson (28'), Andrade (36'), Elliott (86')
Stockton (54')
Lavelle (40'), Songo'o (61'), Cooney (90+3')
Sep 29, 2020 7.45pm
Group Stage
Salford City
2-0
Morecambe
Wilson (44'), Hunter (90+2')
Thomas-Asante (75'), Touray (79')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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