League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK

The Peninsula Stadium

Salford City
3 - 1
Morecambe

McLennan (13'), Hendry (50'), Tilt (79')
Robinson (35'), McLennan (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vassell (61' og.)
Garner (34')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Salford City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two

Goals
for

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 5-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salford City 0-3 Morecambe

Salford City might have the home advantage this weekend, but that does not make them the favorites and their poor run of form could continue here. The defensive issues that the Ammies have dealt with throughout the season is likely to be their downfall in this one, which Morecambe will attempt to exploit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford City	Draw	Morecambe
45.2% ( 1.44)	22.9% ( -0.07)	31.9% ( -1.37)

Both teams to score 64.15% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.22% (

-0.23)

36.77% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.06% (

-0.25)

58.94% (

0.25)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.25% (

0.47)

16.74% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.33% (

0.83)

46.67% (

-0.84)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05% (

-0.88)

22.95% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.27% (

-1.31)

56.73% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Salford City 45.2%

Morecambe 31.9%

Draw 22.89%

Salford City	Draw	Morecambe
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.12) Other @ 4.37% Total : 45.2%	1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.89%	1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.9%