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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
69.77% ( -0.01) | 18.98% ( 0) | 11.25% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.03% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.79% ( -0.01) | 47.22% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.56% ( -0.01) | 69.45% ( 0.01) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.64% ( -0) | 12.36% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.8% ( -0.01) | 38.2% ( 0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.24% ( 0) | 49.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.51% ( 0) | 84.49% |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-0 @ 13.44% 1-0 @ 12.85% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 9.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.92% Total : 69.76% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.27% Other @ 0.58% Total : 18.98% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.33% Total : 11.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |