Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
