Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
