MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:18:48| >> :600:629470:629470:
Lille
Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 1
Rijeka

Zhegrova (43'), Yoro (89')
Andre (15'), Zhegrova (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pasalic (24')
Mitrovic (52'), Labrovic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lille and HNK Rijeka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rijeka 2-1 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, August 20 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

We said: Lille 3-1 HNK Rijeka

Although Rijeka have made an impressive start to the season - winning seven of their eight games in all competitions - Lille are expected to flex their Ligue 1 muscles and chalk up a sizeable first-leg lead on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawHNK Rijeka
61.17% (0.228 0.23) 20.35% (0.113 0.11) 18.48% (-0.334 -0.33)
Both teams to score 58% (-1.053 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.88% (-1.077 -1.08)38.12% (1.083 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.61% (-1.157 -1.16)60.39% (1.163 1.16)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95% (-0.26400000000001 -0.26)12.05% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.46% (-0.569 -0.57)37.54% (0.576 0.58)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94% (-0.991 -0.99)34.05% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26% (-1.085 -1.09)70.74% (1.092 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Lille 61.17%
    HNK Rijeka 18.48%
    Draw 20.35%
LilleDrawHNK Rijeka
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.354 0.35)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.48% (0.131 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 61.17%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.209 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 5.04% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.42% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 18.48%

How you voted: Lille vs Rijeka

Lille
89.4%
Draw
8.5%
HNK Rijeka
2.1%
47
rhs 2.0
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