Lille2 - 1Rijeka
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, August 20 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL
for
We said: Lille 3-1 HNK Rijeka
Although Rijeka have made an impressive start to the season - winning seven of their eight games in all competitions - Lille are expected to flex their Ligue 1 muscles and chalk up a sizeable first-leg lead on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
61.17% ( 0.23) | 20.35% ( 0.11) | 18.48% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 58% ( -1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.88% ( -1.08) | 38.12% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.61% ( -1.16) | 60.39% ( 1.16) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.95% ( -0.26) | 12.05% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.46% ( -0.57) | 37.54% ( 0.58) |
HNK Rijeka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.94% ( -0.99) | 34.05% ( 1) |