Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient5 - 0Clermont
The Match
Match Report
Lorient suffer an automatic relegation from Ligue 1 in the most heartbreaking circumstances as Metz survive by the skin of their teeth on the final day.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Lorient
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Lyon
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Clermont |
42.93% ( 0.35) | 25.14% ( -0.14) | 31.93% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( 0.56) | 47.27% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( 0.52) | 69.5% ( -0.52) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( 0.41) | 21.99% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.7% ( 0.61) | 55.3% ( -0.62) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( 0.14) | 28.03% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.31% ( 0.18) | 63.68% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 42.93%
Clermont 31.93%
Draw 25.14%
| Lorient | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.93% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Clermont
Lorient
64.3%Draw
14.3%Clermont
21.4%28
