Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient1 - 2Toulouse
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lorient 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, April 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, April 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse
Although Lorient may benefit from having home advantage on Sunday, we cannot ignore that Toulouse are currently one of the form teams in the division. We feel that will continue on Sunday with the visitors battling their way to another maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Toulouse |
26.55% ( 0.27) | 23.95% ( 0.02) | 49.5% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( 0.11) | 45% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.1) | 67.35% ( -0.11) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( 0.27) | 30.66% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.1% ( 0.31) | 66.9% ( -0.32) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( -0.08) | 18.26% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.68% ( -0.13) | 49.32% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 26.55%
Toulouse 49.5%
Draw 23.94%
| Lorient | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.5% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Toulouse
Lorient
31.6%Draw
15.8%Toulouse
52.6%19
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
