Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Dec 10, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
0 - 1
Brest

Herelle (40'), Elisor (42'), Jallow (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Le Douaron (75')
Lala (2'), Lees-Melou (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 2-0 Metz
Sunday, December 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 1-1 Strasbourg
Thursday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz will be desperate to get back to winning ways after a frustrating match at Lille, and we believe that Les Grenats will have enough equality to cause their visitors issues. Brest face a quick turnaround following Thursday's meeting with Strasbourg, and we feel that the proximity of Sunday's clash to their last could lead to a sluggish performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Brest
40.63% ( -0.13)	27.6% ( 0.03)	31.78% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.34% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.73% (

-0.1)

57.27% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.89% (

-0.08)

78.11% (

0.08)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35% (

-0.11)

27.65% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8% (

-0.15)

63.2% (

0.15)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.82% (

0.02)

33.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.21% (

0.02)

69.79% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Metz 40.62%

Brest 31.78%

Draw 27.59%

Metz	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.62%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.78%