Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse1 - 2Lyon
FT(HT: 1-1)
We said: Toulouse 1-2 Lyon
Winning just one of their opening five matches, Toulouse are struggling to reach the heights that they managed last term, and we expect that storyline to strengthen on Sunday. Lyon are getting a number of key attacking players back to full fitness and should be confident of recording consecutive wins to conclude a productive week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Lyon |
36.69% ( -0.36) | 25.69% ( 0.11) | 37.62% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.21% ( -0.52) | 48.78% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.11% ( -0.47) | 70.88% ( 0.47) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( -0.44) | 25.88% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.14% ( -0.61) | 60.86% ( 0.6) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.1) | 25.36% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.84% ( -0.14) | 60.16% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Toulouse 36.69%
Lyon 37.62%
Draw 25.69%
| Toulouse | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.69% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.62% |
How you voted: Toulouse vs Lyon
Toulouse
24.6%Draw
18.0%Lyon
57.4%61
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Oct 7, 2022 8pm
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
