Trophee des Champions | Final

Jan 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 0
Toulouse

Kang-in (3'), Mbappe (44')
Vitinha (46'), Hernandez (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Suazo (45+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Report

The Match

Match Report

Paris Saint-Germain ease to a record-extending 12th Trophee des Champions title with a 2-0 win over Toulouse thanks to Lee Kang-in and Kylian Mbappe's goals.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 3-1 Metz
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Monaco
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 3-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Toulouse
71.81% ( 0.39)	16.35% ( -0.29)	11.83% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 55.53% (

0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.75% (

1.16)

33.25% (

-1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.99% (

1.32)

55.01% (

-1.33)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.88% (

0.37)

8.12% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.49% (

0.92)

28.51% (

-0.93)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.43% (

0.63)

39.56% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.75% (

0.58)

76.25% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 71.81%

Toulouse 11.83%

Draw 16.35%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Toulouse
2-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.26% Total : 71.81%	1-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.35%	1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 11.83%