Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.92%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Toulouse |
54.92% ( -0) | 22.11% | 22.97% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 59.03% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.91% | 40.09% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.54% | 62.46% ( -0) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.44% ( -0) | 14.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.39% ( -0) | 42.6% ( 0) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% ( 0) | 30.92% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% ( 0) | 67.21% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 3.04% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.92% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.11% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.81% Total : 22.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |