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Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2021 at 4.05pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Lille

Lorient
1 - 4
Lille

Hergault (23')
Lemoine (61'), Monconduit (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gravillon (21' og.), Fonte (38'), Ikone (59'), Bradaric (90+1')

Preview: Lorient vs. Lille - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Lorient will somehow attempt to continue their unforeseen revival in Ligue 1 this Sunday when they welcome second-placed Lille to the Stade du Moustoir.

The hosts managed to take a point from their clash with Monaco last time out, whereas Lille go into this game following an agonising Europa League defeat to Ajax.


Match preview

Lorient manager Christophe Pelissier pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Had it not been for a last-minute equaliser from Wissam Ben Yedder, Lorient would have enjoyed yet another magnificent victory over a title-chasing team in Monaco, but they ultimately had to settle for a point as their resurgence continues in the top flight.

Ben Yedder may have bagged a brace on the day, but Lorient's in-form striker Terem Moffi also chipped in with a double of his own, and the 21-year-old now boasts seven goals from his last eight outings in the league. Keeping Moffi fit, well and firing on all cylinders will be key for Lorient as they aim to surge further up the Ligue 1 table in the coming weeks.

Since making their return from a major coronavirus outbreak, Lorient have won four and drawn two in all competitions - scoring 12 goals in their last six outings - and victory over Lille would mark their fourth home triumph on the bounce in the league, a feat they last achieved in the 2007-08 campaign.

Les Merlus have now propelled themselves above the dotted line and are five clear of the automatic relegation places, but Nantes - who lie in the relegation playoff spot - are one point behind and would temporarily overtake Lorient if they beat Marseille on Saturday.

However, Christophe Pelissier's men have already beaten Paris Saint-Germain and drawn with Monaco in 2021, so there is no reason why the hosts cannot stop another title hopeful in their tracks, especially when the team in question just suffered a disheartening defeat on the European stage.

Lille coach Christophe Galtier in the Europa League on February 18, 2021© Reuters

Lille's chances of advancing to the Europa League last 16 are already under serious threat, as the Ligue 1 leaders came up second best against Eredivisie leaders Ajax, who take a 2-1 first-leg lead back to Amsterdam.

There was an air of controversy over the penalty which Dusan Tadic comfortably dispatched, but one cannot question that Ajax were by far the stronger team on the night and fully merited their two away goals, and Christophe Galtier did not hold back in his post-match press conference, understandably so.

Thursday's defeat ended a run of eight games unbeaten and six consecutive clean sheets across all competitions for Lille, with last weekend's 0-0 draw with Brest not doing their title hopes any good, but they remain one point clear of Paris Saint-Germain as Lyon and Monaco also lost ground in the race for glory last weekend.

Les Dogues are at risk of going three games without a win for the first time since November, but they have shipped only one goal in their last seven league outings and have lost just one of their last 15 in the French top flight - winning six in a row away from home.

However, Galtier's men have been knocked off their perch after Lyon beat Brest on Friday, and they are facing a Lorient side whom they crushed 4-0 earlier in the season, although the hosts are certainly a force to be reckoned with in 2021.

Lorient Ligue 1 form: LWWDWD
Lorient form (all competitions): WWDWWD

Lille Ligue 1 form: WWWWWD
Lille form (all competitions): WWWWDL


Team News

Yusuf Yazici celebrates with Lille teammates after scoring against AC Milan on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Lorient are still waiting for their final two COVID-affected players - Paul Nardi and Vincent Le Goff - to return to action, but the latter has been training well and could make his comeback here.

There is less optimism over the fitness of Nardi, and a late call on the goalkeeper is set to be made tomorrow, but Matthieu Dreyer will not want to relinquish his spot either way.

Indeed, it would be a shock to see Pelissier disrupt the harmony at all given the way that his team have been playing in recent weeks.

Galtier may opt for a double change in midfield as Benjamin Andre and Xeka are both back from suspensions served in the Europa League, which means that Renato Sanches and Boubakary Soumare may make way.

Burak Yilmaz is still working his way back from a calf problem, but Galtier is in a predicament with his striking options regardless after Timothy Weah opened the scoring against Ajax.

With Yusuf Yazici not quite at his best after a recent return from injury, the visiting manager may hand Weah a start up top alongside Jonathan David.

Lorient possible starting lineup:
Dreyer; Delaplace, Laporte, Gravillon, Morel, Le Goff; Le Fee, Abergel, Monconduit, Wissa; Moffi

Lille possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Celik, Fonte, Botman, Bradaric; Ikone, Andre, Xeka, Bamba; David, Weah


SM words green background

We say: Lorient 1-1 Lille

Lille have not exactly been blowing teams away recently despite their strong form, and it is very difficult to back against Lorient amid their hugely impressive turnaround. The hosts will be well-rested, unlike Lille, who are sure to be fatigued and still lamenting their late defeat to Ajax, so we can see Lorient's unbeaten streak lasting a little while longer with a hard-fought draw on Sunday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Lorient vs Lille

Lorient
22.7%
Draw
13.6%
Lille
63.6%
22
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient16103330151533
2Paris FCParis FC1694324131131
3DunkerqueDunkerque1610152621531
4Metz1685324131129
5Annecy167632318527
6Laval167452517825
7GuingampGuingamp168172622425
8AmiensAmiens167272021-123
9Bastia1641021614222
10PauPau166461819-122
11Rodez AFRodez AF165562926320
12Grenoble165381820-218
13Troyes165381519-418
14Red Star165381628-1218
15Clermont164571419-517
16Caen164391824-615
17Ajaccio164391017-715
18Martigues162311834-269


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